Kevin Coleman Rookie Super Model Prospect Profile For The 2026 NFL Draft
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Kevin Coleman Rookie Super Model Prospect Profile For The 2026 NFL Draft

Dwain McFarland what the 2026 Rookie Super Model tells us about draft prospect Missouri WR Kevin Coleman Jr.

Kevin Coleman Jr., the incoming rookie wideout out of Missouri, checks in as the WR19 in the release of the 2026 Rookie Super Model.

I've profiled 25 of the top wide receivers in the class with individual Prospect Profiles from their Super Model data. For the full WR class, check out the 2026 WR Rookie Super Model. You can find my complete profiles of the 2026 NFL Draft wide receiver prospects here.

If you're new to the model, here is an introductory breakdown of the Rookie Super Model, which rates players on a scale of 50 to 100 based on a composite score across Draft Capital, Production and Film. All of this data is integrated into our free NFL Draft Guide, full of big board rankings, mock drafts and more.

You can find a glossary of terms and stats used in this breakdown at the bottom of the prospect profile.

Kevin Coleman Jr. Rookie Super Model Profile

  • Super Model Rating: 68
  • Draft Pick (based on Mock Draft data): 127
  • Rookie Age: 23
  • Height: 70 inches
  • Weight: 179 pounds
  • Production Rating: 75
  • Film Rating: 76
  • Program Quality Rating: 74

2026 NFL Draft Prospect Profile For Kevin Coleman Jr.

Coleman was a highly sought-after four-star recruit in 2022. He opted to play for Deion Sanders at Jackson State in the FCS. He played for a different school each year after: Louisville, Mississippi State and Missouri.

Coleman didn't break out until his third season at Mississippi State, when he averaged 78 YPG and registered a 2.53 RYPTPA. He also notched a career-best 30% target share in 2024.

Coleman followed that up with 56 YPG and a 2.01 RYPTPA at Missouri. His late breakout and 78 Strength of Schedule Rating are the primary factors holding down his adjusted career RYPTPA.

  • Adjusted Career RYPTPA: 45th percentile
  • Targeted QB Passer Rating: 107.5, 54th percentile

He saw 64% of his targets come behind the line of scrimmage or 0-9 yards downfield, and finished his career with a 9.5 aDOT (41st percentile). He aligned wide on only 7% of snaps.

Coleman can also add value on special teams. He finished his career with 562 punt return yards and 1 TD.

Lance Zierlein of NFL.com gave Coleman a prospect grade of 6.14 (51st percentile). He sees him as a slot option who has good ball skills for his size. His 52% contested-catch rate aligns with that assessment.

Coleman's closest Super Model comps:

Bottom line: Coleman didn't break out until his third season, impacting his Production Rating. He has solid ball skills for his size and could become a slot contributor at the next level. The Rookie Super Model sees him as a Day 3 NFL Draft pick. He is a WR6 profile for fantasy football.

Glossary of Terms In The Prospect Profile

  • Adjusted Career RYPTPA: Career receiving yards per team pass attempt adjusted for age, strength of schedule, QB play, teammate competition, aDOT, and alignment. Doesn't count games missed.
  • aDOT: Average depth of target in yards.
  • Career Targeted QB Passer Rating: Passer rating on WR's targets.
  • Contested catch rate: Percentage of contested targets caught.
  • Contested catch rate over expected: Percentage of contested targets caught after adjusting for aDOT.
  • Draft Capital Rating: Based on Chase Stuart's Draft Value Chart, an improved version of what many know as the Jimmy Johnson trade chart. It accounts for the larger drop-off in the first round and a flatter drop-off around the end of the second round.
  • FDPRR: First downs per route run. Often shown as a percentage (first downs divided by routes).
  • Film Rating: Based on NFL.com prospect grades from Lance Zierlein.
  • Production Rating: A combination of adjusted career RYPTPA and career targeted QB passer rating.
  • Program Quality Rating: ESPN's College Football Power Index is used to assess program quality. The model accounts for each school a prospect attended.
  • RYPTPA: receiving yards per team pass attempt.
  • SOS Rating: Based on strength of schedule (SOS) from Sports Reference. The model accounts for each school the prospect attended.
  • Target Share: A player's percentage of team targets in games played.
  • TPRR: Targets per route run.
  • YAC: Average yards after the catch.
  • YAC over expected: YAC over expected after adjusting for aDOT.
  • YPG: Yards per game.
  • YPRR: Yards per route run.

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