Fantasy Football ADP Risers And Fallers: Keon Coleman Up, Aaron Jones Down

Fantasy Football ADP Risers And Fallers: Keon Coleman Up, Aaron Jones Down

Matt LaMarca identifies the players who are rising and falling in Underdog best ball ADP over the last week, including Keon Coleman and Aaron Jones.

Published Updated

The NFL news cycle never sleeps, and we’re now firmly in training camp report season. Rookies have already reported for the Seahawks, and rookies will report for all teams at some point in the next week. Veterans will follow shortly after, which means we’re going to start being flooded with updates that could prove newsworthy for fantasy football.

That said, we’ve already started to see plenty of movement in the fantasy marketplace. We’ve been looking at the changes in Underdog ADP all summer, and we have another installment for you this week. We’ll look at three of the biggest risers over the past seven days, as well as three of the biggest fallers. Let’s dive right in.

Risers in Fantasy Football ADP

NO_saints-logo.svg Alvin Kamara | NO | RB (+7.6 spots)

Alvin Kamara is officially staying in New Orleans. That wasn’t necessarily a guarantee at the start of this offseason. He agreed to a pay cut, reducing his salary to a $6M base with an additional $2.5M in possible incentives.

While Kamara is no longer the same player he was in his prime, he should still have a viable role in the Saints’ offense. The newly acquired Travis Etienne will handle most of the early-down responsibilities, but those have never been Kamara’s bread and butter anyway. He’s made a living as one of the best pass-catching backs in football, and he should continue to play on third downs at a minimum.

Last year, Kamara maintained a solid 11% target share, and he was targeted on 16% of his routes run. Add in a handful of carries each game, and it could be enough for Kamara to have some standalone value.

With that in mind, it’s not a huge surprise that he was the biggest winner this week. His draft position shot up 7.6 spots on Underdog, but he’s still coming off the board as just RB54. He could definitely pay off that price tag, and he’s RB46 in our consensus rankings.

BUF_bills-logo.svg Keon Coleman | BUF | WR (+4.3 spots)

Could Keon Coleman be a post-hype breakout in his third professional season? It seems like the Bills are at least keeping that door open. HC Joe Brady has reportedly told Coleman that he’s “going to be a part of the offense,” while GM Brandon Beane has reportedly shot down trade offers for the former second-round pick.

Coleman’s career has been a pretty massive disappointment so far. He had a decent rookie season (556 yards, 4r touchdowns), but took a sizable step back last year. He was even a healthy scratch at times down the stretch, despite the Bills desperately lacking a go-to receiver.

That’s not the most encouraging sign for Coleman, who now faces more competition for playing time. DJ Moore should serve as the team’s No. 1 receiver, and Khalil Shakir is still around. The Bills have also transitioned into a more run-heavy offense: they were 27th in Dropback Over Expectation last year.

While Coleman has a chance to be the No. 3 receiver in 2026, it’s hard to imagine that role carrying a ton of value. He’s basically free in drafts at the moment (208.1 ADP), but there are other dart throws I’d rather make at the end of drafts.

DEN_broncos-logo.svg Jaylen Waddle | DEN | WR (+2.4 spots)

Jaylen Waddle is on the opposite end of the pricing spectrum from Coleman. He was already going in the top 45 picks on Underdog, and his ADP has jumped slightly over the past seven days.

Waddle joins a new team this season in Denver, which gives him a chance at the best production of his career. He had to compete with a prime Tyreek Hill in the early years of his career, and he had to deal with the demise of the Dolphins’ offense over the past two seasons. Both of those concerns should be alleviated in Denver.

We have Waddle currently ranked at WR22 in our consensus rankings, putting him near the back end of Tier 3 at the position. He’s at WR21 in terms of ADP on Underdog, so his price tag is ultimately pretty reasonable.

Fallers in Fantasy Football ADP

PHI_eagles-logo.svg Eli Stowers | PHI | TE (-3.3 spots)

There were a number of really talented pass-catching tight ends in the 2026 NFL Draft, with Eli Stowers near the top of the list. He was selected in the second round at pick No. 54 after putting up big numbers at Vanderbilt. He had 62 catches and 769 yards across 12 games in his final season, which was enough to earn him All-American honors.

Stowers is viewed as the potential successor to Dallas Goedert in Philadelphia, but there was some hope he’d have a role as a rookie. Unfortunately, that seems a bit less likely at the moment. Stowers had to deal with an injury during OTAs, and he is reportedly behind both Goedert and Johnny Mundt on the depth chart for the time being.

Tight end feels crazy deep this season compared to years past, and there are a handful of intriguing TE3 options in best ball drafts. Stowers remains a part of that list, but I’d rather roll the dice on guys like Greg Dulcich, Terrance Ferguson or Gunnar Helm.

HOU_texans-logo.svg Tank Dell | HOU | WR (-3.1 spots)

Tank Dell is expected to be ready for the start of training camp, which is good news for the Texans. That said, it’s unclear exactly what kind of role he’ll be stepping into. Dell was explosive as a rookie, but their depth chart has gotten a lot more crowded since we last saw him play. Nico Collins is established as the team’s alpha receiver, while Jayden Higgins and Jaylin Noel both had flashes as rookies last season.

If Dell can prove that he’s fully recovered from the severe knee injury he suffered in December 2024, he can certainly push Higgins and Noel for playing time. He turned just 75 targets into 47 catches, 709 receiving yards, and 7 touchdowns as a rookie, and quarterback C.J. Stroud has not looked like the same player without him.

That said, there’s always a chance that Dell is simply not the same player after tearing his ACL, MCL and PCL. He’s a high-risk option, but with an ADP just inside the top 200 picks, he also has some upside as well.

MIN_vikings-logo.svg Aaron Jones | MIN | RB (-2.1 spots)

We saw some movement in the Saints’ backfield this week, with Kamara’s price tag going up and Etienne’s price tag going down. We saw the same thing happen in Minnesota. Jordan Mason’s price tag rose for the second straight week, while Aaron Jones is down a couple of spots on Underdog.

I’ve been banging the drum for Mason pretty hard, so this isn’t a huge shocker to me personally. Jones showed clear signs of decline last season, and Mason is simply the better runner at this point. While Jones should maintain a role as the team’s third-down back, the days of him serving as a startable fantasy running back appear to be in the past. At an ADP of around 120, he’s not someone I’m actively drafting.

Players Mentioned in this Article

  1. Aaron Jones
    AaronJones
    RBMINMIN
    PPG
    8.6
    Proj
    113.6
  2. Keon Coleman
    KeonColeman
    WRBUFBUF
    PPG
    6.2
    Proj
    41.1
  3. Jaylen Waddle
    JaylenWaddle
    WRDENDEN
    PPG
    10.0
    Proj
    188.3
  4. Alvin Kamara
    AlvinKamara
    RBNONO
    PPG
    7.7
    Proj
    93.0

Published Updated