
Rest-Of-Season Fantasy Football Rankings: Tetairoa McMillan Rises, Dalton Kincaid Falls
Joe Metz outlines who is getting upgraded and who is getting downgraded in our rest-of-season fantasy football rankings entering Week 5 of the season.
Four weeks, four data points to pull from when evaluating players' values for the rest of the year, which means the rest-of-season fantasy football rankings have a lot of movement.
Let's dive into a pair of players who are rising in the ranks and a pair who are falling.
Risers In The Fantasy Football Rest-Of-Season Rankings
Puka Nacua | Rams | WR2
It's no surprise that Puka Nacua finds himself this high, and it's not like he's a massive riser, but I think he's worth highlighting this week given all of the ambiguity surrounding his health over the last three weeks.
Nacua missed Weeks 2 and 3 as he worked through injury, which is now described as a "pre-Hernia". In short, there's risk for reinjury, and if it occurs, surgery for the hernia is on the table, but this isn't exactly predictable. So, in the meantime, it's wise to proceed as if Nacua is going to be fully healthy, given what we saw in Week 4.
He returned and didn't miss a beat last week, running 91% of the routes with a 24% target share, 11.9-yard aDOT, 89 Utilization Score, and 23.2 half-PPR points. Nine catches and work on the ground, including a rushing touchdown, are what people signed up for when drafting Nacua with WR1 overall aspirations. With Ja'Marr Chase battling a concussion, Nacua has moved up the ranks to the overall WR2 spot behind Amon-Ra St. Brown in our rest-of-season rankings. If you can acquire him for anything lower than a top-three WR price tag, do it.
Tetairoa McMillan | Panthers | WR8
Speaking of rising in the WR ranks, Tetairoa McMillan is riding a massive Week 4 performance into the top-10 rankings at the position. With Jalen Coker sidelined, McMillan operated as the unquestioned WR1, hauling in a 44% target share on 91% of the routes for nearly 200 yards and a pair of scores (45.2 PPR points, WR1 overall finish).
His ascension this season has been buoyed by a Bryce Young breakout that feels more legitimate with each passing week, as he's thrown for 1,268 yards in 4 weeks, averaging over 300 yards per game, with 9 touchdowns to only 2 interceptions. The Panthers have the No. 9 dropback rate in football (66%) while their 8% DBOE ranks 2nd in the league. They're passing 70% of the time while trailing and 64% while leading, as the offense has leaned fully into the aerial attack. McMillan should continue to rack up fantasy points because of the system around him and his talent. As long as Coker remains out, McMillan has legitimate top-five WR upside, and profiles as a strong WR2 when he returns.
Fallers In The Rest-of-Season Fantasy Rankings
Dalton Kincaid | Bills | TE9
As excited as we were about Dalton Kincaid's involvement after the first two weeks, we've quickly crashed back down to earth after back-to-back games with target shares of 12% or lower and, more alarmingly, a 56% route rate in Week 4. After posting Utilization Scores of 87 and 96 in Weeks 1 and 2, he's posted scores of 51 and 30 in the following weeks. This is beginning to feel too similar to the part-time role we've seen Kincaid operate in the past few seasons, despite his strong target-earning ability.
The difference is that, this season, we've seen the coaching staff's willingness to play him (68-69% routes in Weeks 1-3), and HC Joe Brady explicitly talked about getting him more looks going forward. He downgrades in the ROS rankings to back-end TE1 territory, but he's someone I would be looking to buy low on after a pair of down games given his upside and the offensive environment (plus potential missed time for WR1 DJ Moore).
Saquon Barkley | Eagles | RB25
Talk about a FALL. Between lack of high-end production and nagging injuries, Saquon Barkley finds himself merely as a borderline RB2 in our rest-of-season rankings.
I talked about my reluctance to get on board with Barkley in my Week 5 Guillotine Leagues™ Bidding Advice column, and my stance hasn't shifted in traditional redraft formats. His yards per carry (over 5.0) looks great, but the offense is in disarray; he's dealing with a week-to-week hamstring injury, and the offensive line just lost its engine (Lane Johnson) to retirement. All of the signals around Barkley and the Eagles' offense are extremely bearish right now. If you're a Barkley owner, I wouldn't be looking to sell low; I would be holding. But if you're not a Barkley owner, I wouldn't go out of my way to make an attempt to acquire him.
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