Germie Bernard Scouting Report And Rookie Super Model Prospect Profile
Fantasy

Germie Bernard Scouting Report And Rookie Super Model Prospect Profile

Dwain McFarland breaks down what the Rookie Super Model has to say about incoming WR Germie Bernard out of Alabama.

NFL Draft prospect Germie Bernard out of Alabama checks in as the WR9 in the release of the 2026 Rookie Super Model.

I've profiled 25 of the top wide receivers in the class with individual Prospect Profiles from their Super Model data. For the full WR class, check out the 2026 WR Rookie Super Model. You can find my complete profiles of the 2026 NFL Draft wide receiver prospects here.

If you're new to the model, here is an introductory breakdown of the Rookie Super Model, which rates players on a scale of 50 to 100 based on a composite score across Draft Capital, Production and Film. All of this data is integrated into our free NFL Draft Guide, full of big board rankings, mock drafts and more.

You can find a glossary of terms and stats used in this breakdown at the bottom of the prospect profile.

Rookie Super Model Prospect Profile For Germie Bernard

  • Super Model Rating: 74 (90th since 2018)
  • Draft Pick: 60
  • Rookie Age: 22.8
  • Height: 73 inches
  • Weight: 206 pounds

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Bernard was a consensus four-star recruit out of Nevada in 2022. He played his first season at Michigan State, but struggled to get on the field despite an offense without star power at WR. 

He transferred to Washington in his second season on a roster loaded with Rome Odunze, Ja'Lynn Polk, Jalen McMillan and Denzel Boston. He managed a 41% route participation rate as a rotational WR for the national championship team.

When Kalen DeBoer and OC Ryan Grubb left for Alabama, Bernard followed. He played his final two seasons for Alabama and was one of the top passing-game options, battling five-star recruit Ryan Williams for targets.

What the Production Says

Bernard's lack of a strong RYPTPA season until his third season is a major factor in his career adjusted mark. He delivered average returns when targeted.

  • Adjusted Career RYPTPA: 36th percentile
  • Targeted QB Passer Rating: 108, 54th percentile

Adjusted Career RYPTPA: Career receiving yards per team pass attempt adjusted for age, strength of schedule, QB play, teammate competition, aDOT, and alignment. Doesn't count games missed.

It is hard to hold Bernard's 0.81 RYPTPA in his second season against him, given the deep talent pool at Washington. Still, it would have been nice to see more than a 0.33 RYPTPA in his first season at Michigan State on a team that didn't have a dominant WR.

Bernard's third year, his first at Alabama, was his best. He averaged 61 YPG with a 2.22 RYPTPA. He scored only 2 TDs that season but had a 22% target share. In his final season with Alabama, he notched a 1.75 RYPTPA with 62 YPG and 7 TDs. He matched his previous season 22% target share.

He can also add value as a rusher. He ran for 184 yards and 5 TDs (71st percentile) over his career. That TD mark is the third-best for a WR since 2018. 

This is a below-average production profile. Below is some additional context, from numbers that aren't inputs in the model, but help us double-check for something we might have missed:

  • Career YPRR: 1.90 (37th percentile)
  • Career FDPRR: 9% (44th percentile)
  • Career TPRR: 20% 

Beyond the Production

Bernard's target-depth profile was balanced. But he was significantly above the average behind the line of scrimmage and at medium depths of the field.

  • Behind the Line of Scrimmage Targets: 22% (+8 vs. avg)
  • Short Targets (0-9 yards): 26% (-10 vs. avg)
  • Medium Targets (10-19 yards): 33% (+7 vs. avg)
  • Deep Targets (20+ yards): 19% (-3 vs. avg)

Bernard aligned up inside and outside (51% wide) and had a career aDOT of 10.5 yards (46th percentile). His 6.4 YAC was above average (+1.3 yards) after adjusting for aDOT.

He didn't have a problem with drops (2%), but was below average in contested-catch situations, snaring 39% of those targets.

Lance Zierlein described Bernard as an above-average WR2 or WR3 for an NFL team. He noted his versatility to line up inside or outside, YAC ability, and ability to help in the run game as positives. The negatives: difficulty beating press, lack of top-end vertical speed, and a need to "become more consistently competitive for catch space."

That all aligns with Bernard's data profile. Zierlein's final grade: 6.29 (59th percentile).

Fantasy Outlook

Since 2018, 62 WRs have posted a Super Model rating between 69 and 79, with 31% delivering a top-36 finish by Year 3.

  • Top-six finishes: 3%
  • Top-12 finishes: 8%
  • Top-24 finishes: 21%
  • Top-36 finishes: 31%

Bernard's closest Super Model comps:

Bottom line: Bernard is a strong YAC player who can play inside or outside, but he has limitations to his game. That showed up with a lack of high-end production in college. The Rookie Super Model views Bernard as a Round 3 pick. For fantasy, he is a WR4 who could get a bump in a scheme that moves him around the formation and gets him involved in the rushing attack. 

Glossary of Terms In The Prospect Profile

  • Adjusted Career RYPTPA: Career receiving yards per team pass attempt adjusted for age, strength of schedule, QB play, teammate competition, aDOT, and alignment. Doesn't count games missed.
  • aDOT: Average depth of target in yards.
  • Career Targeted QB Passer Rating: Passer rating on WR's targets.
  • Contested catch rate: Percentage of contested targets caught.
  • Contested catch rate over expected: Percentage of contested targets caught after adjusting for aDOT.
  • Draft Capital Rating: Based on Chase Stuart's Draft Value Chart, an improved version of what many know as the Jimmy Johnson trade chart. It accounts for the larger drop-off in the first round and a flatter drop-off around the end of the second round.
  • FDPRR: First downs per route run. Often shown as a percentage (first downs divided by routes).
  • Film Rating: Based on NFL.com prospect grades from Lance Zierlein.
  • Production Rating: A combination of adjusted career RYPTPA and career targeted QB passer rating.
  • Program Quality Rating: ESPN's College Football Power Index is used to assess program quality. The model accounts for each school a prospect attended.
  • RYPTPA: receiving yards per team pass attempt.
  • SOS Rating: Based on strength of schedule (SOS) from Sports Reference. The model accounts for each school the prospect attended.
  • Target Share: A player's percentage of team targets in games played.
  • TPRR: Targets per route run.
  • YAC: Average yards after the catch.
  • YAC over expected: YAC over expected after adjusting for aDOT.
  • YPG: Yards per game.
  • YPRR: Yards per route run.

Players Mentioned in this Article

  1. Rome Odunze
    RomeOdunze
    WRCHICHI
    PPG
    9.64