Dalton Kincaid vs. Mark Andrews: Who's The Better Fantasy Football Pick In 2026?

There are plenty of ways to attack tight end this season. Dalton Kincaid and Mark Andrews sit in that late-round sweet spot, and they are going almost back-to-back in PPR drafts: Andrews has a consensus fantasy football ADP around pick 120, while Kincaid is coming off the board at 116.4.

Fantasy Life projects Andrews as the TE10 at 161.5 PPR points. Kincaid sits at TE14 with 148.1. That is roughly a 13-point raw-projection gap, and everyone can decide how much that matters. There’s a clear lead dog in this debate, so let me give you my take on the situation.

Who's The Better Fantasy Football Pick In 2026: Dalton Kincaid or Mark Andrews?

The Case for Dalton Kincaid

Kincaid has a reasonable bull case.

He plays with Josh Allen. Joe Brady is still in Buffalo, providing continuity in a very good offense. The Bills should again be efficient, and Kincaid has a real chance to be more involved between the 20s. If you believe he takes the next step as a traditional target earner, there is a path to a nice PPR season.

But I have been waiting for that breakout to arrive for a while now.

Kincaid has been hyped up in each of the last two seasons, but health has been an issue. He made it through no more than 13 games in either of the last two years, so he needs to prove he can stay on the field.

Even more concerning is the lack of premium usage when he was active. Removing Weeks 6, 11, 12, 13 and 17 from last season’s sample, Kincaid played only 10 of 54 snaps inside the five-yard line. That is an 18% rate. Inside the 10-yard line, he played 21 of 89 snaps, or 23%.

Could that change? Of course. A tighter role, better health or a shift in play-calling could open things up for him. But Dawson Knox is still there, particularly as a blocker, and Jackson Hawes has also surfaced in the rotation.

Kincaid could have a couple of spike weeks. He might even out-catch Andrews. But I am skeptical that he will consistently earn the kind of high-value role needed to beat Andrews in touchdowns.

The Bills also brought in DJ Moore, which is another mouth to feed through the air.

The Case for Mark Andrews

The first factor is simple: Isaiah Likely is no longer in Baltimore.

Without Likely, there is one less capable tight end competing for targets and high-value snaps. Baltimore also lost Charlie Kolar, who is now with the Chargers. The Ravens have not only removed Likely from the equation, but they have also thinned out the depth chart behind Andrews.

But who else is going to step up in the red zone?

Baltimore has Zay Flowers, but after that, there are not many established pass catchers on the outside. The Ravens will still create their offense around Lamar Jackson, Derrick Henry and their ability to run the football. But if defenses sell out to stop Henry—and if Jackson runs a little less than he has in prior years—Andrews becomes the obvious red-zone threat.

We have seen it before. Andrews has produced spike weeks with multiple touchdowns, and those are the types of performances that can completely break a head-to-head matchup open.

Fantasy Life projects Andrews and Kincaid for nearly identical target totals. The real separation comes in the touchdown column, where Andrews projects for almost two more scores.

Both Baltimore and Buffalo ran the ball at a top-10 rate inside the 10-yard line last season. That should not surprise anyone. Jackson and Henry are about as intimidating a goal-line duo as football has to offer, while Josh Allen and James Cook bring the same type of problems for defenses in Buffalo.

But Andrews was still on the field for 69% of Baltimore’s snaps inside the five-yard line last season. That was the second-highest rate among all Ravens’ skill-position players, trailing only Derrick Henry. That is elite usage. Opportunity and availability are the foundation of touchdown equity, and Andrews has a stranglehold on both.

Yes, he has started slowly in recent years. Yes, there is some ambiguity in Baltimore with Jesse Minter and a new offensive staff. But that uncertainty is baked into the price. At pick 120, I am betting on the veteran tight end with a long track record of production and a clear role near the goal line.

Should You Draft Mark Andrews Or Dalton Kincaid In 2026 Fantasy Drafts?

Give me Andrews at cost. He has a proven resume and one of the best red-zone roles at the position.

Kincaid’s case is built around what he could become. Andrews’ is built around what he has already done—and the opportunity that is now sitting directly in front of him.

In this range of the draft, I want the player most likely to give me those two-touchdown weeks that can swing a matchup.

Players Mentioned in this Article

DaltonKincaid
TEBUF
PPG
9.4
Proj
116.1
MarkAndrews
TEBAL
PPG
6.2
Proj
127.9

Published Aug 23, 2026, 4:00 AM ET