Dynasty Fantasy Football Value Fallers: Brandon Aiyuk Continues To Crater

Dynasty Fantasy Football Value Fallers: Brandon Aiyuk Continues To Crater

A wide receiver is spiraling on social media, a running back is losing his role and another wideout just lost his job to the new guy. What are you going to do with them in dynasty fantasy football leagues?

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Last week, I wrote about risers in dynasty, so it is only right to balance that out with players on the other end of the spectrum, dynasty fantasy football value fallers.

There's a wide variety of reasons why players can fall. Changes in situation, recent production, off-field concerns, injury history and age can all drive down the dynasty value of a player. In this article, I will explore some of the players who have seen the biggest negative movement in value this offseason and examine why that has happened.

One caveat is that I'm not interested in players who are losing value solely because they are aging. I won't be writing about Travis Kelce, Mike Evans or Davante Adams in this article because they aren't particularly interesting. Their trade value is significantly different from their 2026 fantasy football projections because fantasy managers don't expect much from them after this season.

Fallers In Dynasty Fantasy Football
 

SF_49ers-logo.svgBrandon Aiyuk | WR | SF (For Now)

Brandon Aiyuk has had about as bad an offseason as a player can have, short of getting suspended. For most of the offseason, it seemed like only a matter of time until Aiyuk was released by the 49ers and could sign with his preferred team, the Washington Commanders.

However, Aiyuk has now had a very public falling out with Jayden Daniels, which makes their reunion much less likely. It remains to be seen if any other NFL teams will want to take a risk on a player who has seemed more interested in trashing his past employer than demonstrating he is ready to play football again. Add in the multi-ligament knee injury he suffered in 2024, the questions about his commitment to rehabbing from his injury, and the arrest warrant issued following one of his social media stunts last season, and it becomes easy to imagine a scenario where Aiyuk never sets foot on an NFL field again. 

That reality has wiped out the dynasty value of a player who was once one of the most promising young WR talents and a cornerstone of fantasy rosters. We can't completely write off his career yet, but you don't want to trade away anything meaningful to acquire him because of the risk that he is a total zero.

ARI_cardinals-logo.svgTyler Allgeier | RB | ARI

There was a brief period of time where Tyler Allgeier was one of the biggest dynasty risers because of the contract he got from the Arizona Cardinals that suggested he might be their starting RB in 2026. That all went out the window when Arizona drafted Jeremiyah Love at No. 3 overall. Not only is Love a great prospect, but that level of draft capital assures that he is installed as a big part of the offense right away.

It is a brutal outcome for Allgeier, who will now spend four of his first five NFL seasons behind a generational RB talent after serving as Bijan Robinson's backup for the last three seasons. Allgeier has been solid when given the opportunity, but he is clearly viewed as a backup-caliber RB by NFL organizations. He will still retain some value as a decent handcuff option, but his dynasty stock has plummeted from where it was before the NFL Draft.

It also doesn't help that he signed with what is expected to be one of the worst teams in the NFL this year. If he does get the chance to play more than we expect, the odds aren't great that he will impress enough to warrant a big contract two years from now when he is a free agent again. As a result, he looks likely to spend the rest of his career as a backup RB who will need an injury ahead of him to be someone fantasy managers are excited to start.

DEN_broncos-logo.svgCourtland Sutton | WR | DEN

The Denver Broncos made one of the biggest splashes this offseason when they traded for Jaylen Waddle. Sutton has been a productive player for the Broncos, but he isn't a dynamic playmaker who can elevate an offense. Waddle brings a different level of separation skills and YAC ability that seems better suited to the type of quick passing game that Sean Payton has historically had success with.

Courtland Sutton will still provide a big game ceiling in a downfield role that could lead to big plays and multi-TD games, but his week-to-week volatility is also likely to increase if his target totals decline from the ~125 targets he has averaged over the last two seasons. Sutton also doesn't have much hope of moving to a new team where he can be the clear number one target after signing a contract extension in 2025 that will keep him in Denver for the rest of his best years.

He should still be a high-upside WR3 or FLEX play on a weekly basis, but his dynasty value has almost certainly peaked and will continue to decline now that he is past 30 years old and unlikely to ever be the top weapon in a passing game again.

LA_rams-logo.svgKyren Williams | RB | LAR

There are rumors of Kyren Williams' demise every offseason, but so far they haven't come to pass. Could this finally be the year that the fears prove correct? On the surface, it doesn't seem like fantasy managers should be too concerned. Williams has recorded three straight seasons with at least 1,300 scrimmage yards and double-digit TDs. He is only heading into his age-26 season, and the Rams did not draft or sign any notable competition. So why the decline in value?

It all stems back to the second half of last season when the Rams finally employed more of a true committee approach. From Week 7 through the Conference Championship game, Blake Corum averaged just over 10 rush attempts per game. For the full season, Corum logged an impressive 5.1 yards per carry, which is better than any single season that Williams has had.

Sean McVay has long spoken about wanting to reduce Kyren's workload, but the problem was that he never had a reliable enough second option to do so. It looks like the Rams now have that player in Corum. Although Williams still projects to see the largest share of the backfield touches, his usage is more likely to fall in the 200-250 opportunity range rather than 300+ opportunities (rushes attempts + targets) that he has seen in each of the last two seasons.

It is hard to argue with that approach from a real football perspective, but a decline in workload will hurt Williams' fantasy value, and his dynasty value has adjusted accordingly.


Players Mentioned in this Article

  1. Brandon Aiyuk
    BrandonAiyukIR
    WRSFSF
  2. Tyler Allgeier
    TylerAllgeier
    RBARIARI
    PPG
    6.8
    Proj
    65.4
  3. Courtland Sutton
    CourtlandSutton
    WRDENDEN
    PPG
    10.4
    Proj
    165.9
  4. Kyren Williams
    KyrenWilliams
    RBLARLAR
    PPG
    14.9
    Proj
    198.9

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